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Red111
608135.9
612023.4
353637.9
Blue103
213736.6
586014.8
413043.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103996080120140111103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#18
37.91.1
37.638.7
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End5.2
blue by 5.3
4130
#32
43.20.8
42.042.8
Auto11.1
Teleop22.8
End9.0
Second
6081
#30
35.91.1
34.835.9
Auto10.8
Teleop20.1
End5.1
blue by 0.7
2137
#11
36.60.8
35.536.2
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End7.9
Third
6120
#26
23.41.1
22.323.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.6
End4.2
red by 8.6
5860
#27
14.80.8
14.014.8
Auto6.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned