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Red101
779028.2
506621.8
7056.9
Blue118
546060.5
543637.2
817931.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115139050100200250300101118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
56.90.9
58.157.2
Auto15.0
Teleop30.8
End10.0
blue by 3.6
60.50.7
59.058.4
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End9.4
Second
7790
#33
28.20.9
29.128.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.8
End6.4
blue by 9.0
5436
#24
37.20.7
37.937.2
Auto9.3
Teleop21.9
End5.7
Third
5066
#37
21.80.9
22.821.8
Auto10.6
Teleop7.8
End3.7
blue by 9.9
8179
#23
31.70.7
32.431.7
Auto11.2
Teleop15.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned