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Red149
721147.0
283435.7
353842.4
Blue76
436253.2
999829.2
353637.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311165010015020014976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.6
45.446.1
Auto14.0
Teleop23.4
End9.0
blue by 6.2
4362
#13
53.21.2
54.052.8
Auto14.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
Second
3538
#12
42.40.6
40.841.5
Auto10.7
Teleop25.0
End7.0
red by 4.5
3536
#18
37.91.2
38.737.5
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End5.2
Third
2834
#28
35.70.6
34.234.8
Auto13.9
Teleop15.5
End6.7
red by 6.6
29.21.9
30.528.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End7.9