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Red145
413043.2
353943.6
213736.6
Blue136
233753.9
366731.2
168448.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126145050100200250300350145136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#20
43.60.6
42.543.0
Auto8.1
Teleop26.3
End7.4
blue by 10.3
53.90.1
53.853.9
Auto12.6
Teleop30.6
End9.7
Second
4130
#32
43.20.6
42.142.6
Auto11.1
Teleop22.8
End9.0
blue by 5.1
48.30.1
48.248.3
Auto10.4
Teleop28.2
End9.6
Third
2137
#11
36.60.6
35.536.1
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End7.9
red by 5.4
3667
#14
31.20.1
31.231.2
Auto7.8
Teleop16.5
End6.9