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Red188
584331.1
150663.1
546060.5
Blue135
436253.2
999829.2
353637.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166107050150200250188135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.10.8
60.861.7
Auto14.1
Teleop37.1
End10.7
red by 9.9
4362
#13
53.20.4
52.853.2
Auto14.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
Second
60.50.8
58.359.1
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End9.4
red by 22.6
3536
#18
37.90.4
37.537.9
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End5.2
Third
5843
#29
31.10.8
28.929.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End6.8
red by 2.0
29.20.6
28.629.2
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End7.9