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Red173
5167.4
842643.4
6761.6
Blue146
7056.9
49457.7
370729.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18514950100200250173146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
67.40.1
67.968.1
Auto15.4
Teleop40.7
End9.7
red by 9.7
494
#17
57.70.2
58.057.9
Auto15.9
Teleop31.1
End9.0
Second
67
#6
61.60.1
62.162.2
Auto16.1
Teleop35.8
End7.7
red by 4.7
70
#8
56.90.2
57.357.1
Auto15.0
Teleop30.8
End10.0
Third
8426
#16
43.40.1
43.944.0
Auto14.3
Teleop21.3
End7.3
red by 13.8
3707
#25
29.60.2
29.929.7
Auto4.6
Teleop17.1
End8.0