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Red164
141453.5
253967.0
17668.3
Blue196
667264.8
365561.9
589563.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195187120140160220240260164196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#16
68.30.4
69.569.1
Auto17.0
Teleop40.3
End8.5
red by 3.6
6672
#24
64.80.4
64.264.6
Auto11.8
Teleop42.0
End8.6
Second
67.00.4
68.267.7
Auto15.4
Teleop40.1
End10.0
red by 3.4
5895
#12
63.60.4
63.163.6
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End7.4
Third
1414
#11
53.50.4
54.754.3
Auto14.5
Teleop32.0
End6.0
blue by 8.3
61.90.4
61.361.7
Auto14.4
Teleop36.9
End8.6