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Red162
141453.5
253967.0
17668.3
Blue198
667264.8
365561.9
541946.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195180120140160220240162198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#16
68.30.7
69.168.3
Auto17.0
Teleop40.3
End8.5
red by 3.6
6672
#24
64.80.1
64.664.8
Auto11.8
Teleop42.0
End8.6
Second
67.00.7
67.767.0
Auto15.4
Teleop40.1
End10.0
red by 5.1
61.90.1
61.761.9
Auto14.4
Teleop36.9
End8.6
Third
1414
#11
53.50.7
54.353.5
Auto14.5
Teleop32.0
End6.0
red by 7.4
5419
#43
46.10.1
46.046.1
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End7.0