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Red149
469326.3
141453.5
174555.5
Blue193
682350.2
360449.6
393762.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13416450100150200250149193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1745
#23
55.51.3
53.454.7
Auto10.8
Teleop35.6
End8.6
blue by 6.9
62.42.5
60.262.7
Auto15.7
Teleop38.7
End7.2
Second
1414
#11
53.51.3
51.552.8
Auto14.5
Teleop32.0
End6.0
red by 3.4
6823
#27
50.22.5
46.849.3
Auto12.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Third
4693
#69
26.31.3
24.625.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End4.1
blue by 23.3
49.62.5
45.147.6
Auto14.5
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned