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Red149
46953.8
159948.9
31959.2
Blue115
417527.3
58755.3
402052.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17513450100150200250149115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
59.21.7
60.058.3
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End7.8
red by 3.9
587
#8
55.31.4
54.553.1
Auto16.1
Teleop32.0
End6.2
Second
469
#7
53.81.7
52.450.7
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
red by 1.3
4020
#37
52.51.4
54.352.9
Auto15.1
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Third
1599
#15
48.91.7
48.847.1
Auto13.6
Teleop25.1
End9.0
red by 21.6
4175
#64
27.31.4
24.823.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed