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Red131
541946.1
69460.9
198343.5
Blue144
508929.5
515254.9
124156.8
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16814350100200250300131144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#25
60.91.6
62.360.7
Auto14.8
Teleop36.1
End9.1
red by 4.2
1241
#47
56.80.1
56.456.5
Auto13.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
5419
#43
46.11.6
46.945.3
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End7.0
blue by 8.8
5152
#45
54.90.1
52.752.8
Auto13.3
Teleop29.8
End11.1
Third
1983
#32
43.51.6
44.943.3
Auto13.2
Teleop23.0
End7.4
red by 14.0
5089
#75
29.50.1
29.429.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned