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Red136
541152.8
17668.3
907619.9
Blue127
13544.2
337438.2
591353.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15914250100200250136127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#16
68.31.1
71.270.2
Auto17.0
Teleop40.3
End8.5
red by 14.4
5913
#50
53.90.5
53.252.7
Auto13.2
Teleop32.1
End6.8
Second
5411
#21
52.81.1
55.754.7
Auto12.6
Teleop30.9
End8.2
red by 8.5
135
#46
44.20.5
46.445.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End7.3
Third
9076
#65
19.91.1
20.719.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 18.3
3374
#52
38.20.5
39.338.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned