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Red170
36049.5
642043.3
38459.6
Blue189
456150.0
107240.0
93071.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15417050100200250170189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#6
59.61.6
58.059.6
Auto15.1
Teleop35.7
End7.1
blue by 12.1
930
#9
71.71.8
68.970.7
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
360
#70
49.51.6
46.948.4
Auto13.0
Teleop28.9
End7.2
blue by 0.4
4561
#38
50.01.8
50.051.7
Auto13.4
Teleop27.9
End8.6
Third
6420
#26
43.31.6
41.643.1
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End8.3
red by 3.3
1072
#40
40.01.8
38.440.2
Auto11.8
Teleop21.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned