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Red133
912541.1
13544.2
192362.7
Blue174
550546.0
253967.0
366854.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161172050100200250300133174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#17
62.71.6
63.862.2
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
blue by 4.3
67.00.3
67.467.7
Auto15.4
Teleop40.1
End10.0
Second
135
#46
44.21.6
45.944.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End7.3
blue by 10.4
3668
#29
54.60.3
53.153.3
Auto12.1
Teleop33.3
End7.2
Third
9125
#22
41.11.6
42.841.1
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End8.3
blue by 4.8
5505
#48
46.00.3
45.746.0
Auto12.8
Teleop25.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsMissed95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned