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Red173
93071.7
477946.9
159948.9
Blue137
682350.2
362056.7
367942.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174156100200250300173137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#9
71.70.8
70.771.5
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 15.0
3620
#59
56.70.8
58.157.3
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
Second
1599
#15
48.90.8
48.148.9
Auto13.6
Teleop25.1
End9.0
blue by 1.3
6823
#27
50.20.8
51.050.2
Auto12.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Third
4779
#56
46.90.8
46.146.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End6.0
red by 4.7
3679
#51
42.30.8
43.142.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned