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Qual 1232023 Milstein Division
Red171
98760.8
224053.8
417527.3
Blue118
701823.5
515254.9
900826.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14710250200171118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#30
60.82.2
58.0→60.3
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
red by 5.9
5152
#45
54.91.1
53.8→54.9
Auto13.3
Teleop29.8
End11.1
Second
2240
#36
53.82.2
51.4→53.7
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End10.0
red by 27.7
9008
#57
26.11.1
25.0→26.1
Auto9.2
Teleop10.8
End6.2
Third
4175
#64
27.32.2
25.1→27.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.3
red by 3.8
7018
#72
23.51.1
22.4→23.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned