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Red157
297462.1
150658.5
412239.3
Blue174
31658.3
38459.6
69460.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161185100150200250157174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#44
62.10.1
62.162.0
Auto15.8
Teleop37.4
End6.9
red by 1.2
694
#25
60.90.2
61.061.3
Auto14.8
Teleop36.1
End9.1
Second
1506
#31
58.50.1
58.558.4
Auto14.5
Teleop33.7
End8.5
blue by 1.1
384
#6
59.60.2
59.659.8
Auto15.1
Teleop35.7
End7.1
Third
4122
#55
39.30.1
39.439.3
Auto10.7
Teleop19.8
End8.4
blue by 19.0
316
#13
58.30.2
58.158.3
Auto11.9
Teleop33.8
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned