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Qual 132023 Milstein Division
Red155
857640.9
150658.5
192362.7
Blue185
591353.9
362056.7
667264.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16818250100150200250300155185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#17
62.70.3
59.8→59.6
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
blue by 2.0
6672
#24
64.80.3
65.6→65.4
Auto11.8
Teleop42.0
End8.6
Second
1506
#31
58.50.3
57.8→57.5
Auto14.5
Teleop33.7
End8.5
red by 1.8
3620
#59
56.70.3
55.0→54.7
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
Third
8576
#60
40.90.3
39.2→38.9
Auto11.5
Teleop22.8
End6.9
blue by 13.0
5913
#50
53.90.3
59.8→59.6
Auto13.2
Teleop32.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned