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Qual 122023 Milstein Division
Red165
17668.3
159948.9
263842.5
Blue144
91046.7
36049.5
124156.8
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167158100120140180200220165144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#16
68.30.6
68.1→68.7
Auto17.0
Teleop40.3
End8.5
red by 11.5
1241
#47
56.81.0
58.6→57.6
Auto13.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
1599
#15
48.90.6
47.7→48.3
Auto13.6
Teleop25.1
End9.0
blue by 0.6
360
#70
49.51.0
50.5→49.5
Auto13.0
Teleop28.9
End7.2
Third
2638
#42
42.50.6
45.0→45.6
Auto11.1
Teleop23.9
End7.0
blue by 4.2
910
#20
46.71.0
45.4→44.3
Auto12.3
Teleop24.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed