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Qual 112023 Milstein Division
Red147
907524.5
31658.3
46953.8
Blue118
912541.1
642043.3
337438.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811680100120140160147118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#13
58.31.9
54.6→56.5
Auto11.9
Teleop33.8
End11.0
red by 15.0
6420
#26
43.30.2
39.6→39.8
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End8.3
Second
469
#7
53.81.9
50.8→52.7
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
red by 12.6
9125
#22
41.10.2
36.0→36.2
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End8.3
Third
9075
#53
24.52.3
13.3→15.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.7
End6.7
blue by 13.7
3374
#52
38.20.2
34.5→34.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned