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Qual 102023 Milstein Division
Red151
682350.2
69460.9
402052.5
Blue94
60462.7
541946.1
248930.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16214410012018020022024015194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#25
60.90.1
59.9→59.9
Auto14.8
Teleop36.1
End9.1
blue by 1.7
604
#19
62.72.9
58.7→55.9
Auto13.5
Teleop38.3
End10.0
Second
4020
#37
52.50.1
54.2→54.2
Auto15.1
Teleop29.8
End6.6
red by 6.4
5419
#43
46.12.9
47.1→44.2
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End7.0
Third
6823
#27
50.20.1
41.3→41.3
Auto12.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
red by 20.0
2489
#54
30.22.9
30.4→27.5
Auto5.0
Teleop19.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned