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Red95
686529.6
240339.9
469326.3
Blue131
609063.1
701823.5
477946.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781385010015020095131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#66
39.90.9
39.540.4
Auto12.6
Teleop19.1
End8.6
blue by 23.2
6090
#28
63.10.6
65.766.3
Auto16.6
Teleop34.3
End10.3
Second
6865
#62
29.60.9
22.423.3
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End3.9
blue by 17.4
4779
#56
46.90.6
43.944.5
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End6.0
Third
4693
#69
26.30.9
19.020.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End4.1
red by 2.8
7018
#72
23.50.7
12.312.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsMissed