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Qual 82023 Milstein Division
Red115
224053.8
367942.3
13544.2
Blue139
360449.6
297462.1
565334.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213680100120160180200115139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#36
53.81.2
52.6→51.5
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End10.0
blue by 8.3
2974
#44
62.10.7
56.9→57.6
Auto15.8
Teleop37.4
End6.9
Second
135
#46
44.21.2
41.5→40.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End7.3
blue by 5.4
3604
#5
49.60.7
41.7→42.4
Auto14.5
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Third
3679
#51
42.31.2
38.3→37.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.0
End10.0
red by 8.2
5653
#63
34.10.7
29.2→29.9
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed