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Qual 152023 Milstein Division
Red119
456150.0
502449.9
239952.0
Blue148
412239.3
508929.5
365561.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15213980100120160180200220119148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#14
52.01.8
44.1→42.3
Auto15.0
Teleop27.3
End8.9
blue by 9.8
3655
#2
61.90.8
60.5→61.2
Auto14.4
Teleop36.9
End8.6
Second
4561
#38
50.01.8
47.2→45.4
Auto13.4
Teleop27.9
End8.6
red by 10.6
4122
#55
39.30.8
41.0→41.7
Auto10.7
Teleop19.8
End8.4
Third
5024
#67
49.91.8
49.3→47.6
Auto14.0
Teleop28.0
End8.1
red by 20.4
5089
#75
29.50.8
30.2→31.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsMissed61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned