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Qual 162023 Milstein Division
Red131
561830.8
93071.7
902233.6
Blue128
540953.9
265630.1
263529.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134105406080120160180200131128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#9
71.70.3
67.5→67.8
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 17.7
5409
#33
53.91.7
45.0→46.7
Auto12.8
Teleop32.2
End8.8
Second
9022
#73
33.60.3
27.6→27.9
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End4.0
red by 3.5
2656
#58
30.11.9
30.1→32.1
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End8.5
Third
5618
#74
30.80.3
26.9→27.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End10.6
red by 1.5
2635
#68
29.31.7
26.7→28.5
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned