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Qual 192023 Milstein Division
Red127
13544.2
635232.4
682350.2
Blue143
46953.8
686529.6
168356.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161416080100160180200220127143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6823
#27
50.21.0
41.3→42.3
Auto12.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
blue by 6.4
1683
#10
56.60.6
52.9→53.5
Auto16.8
Teleop29.4
End9.1
Second
135
#46
44.21.0
40.3→41.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End7.3
blue by 9.6
469
#7
53.80.6
52.7→53.3
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
Third
6352
#49
32.41.0
30.6→31.6
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
red by 2.8
6865
#62
29.60.6
23.3→23.9
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned