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Qual 202023 Milstein Division
Red125
565334.1
403963.4
124156.8
Blue155
240339.9
98760.8
60462.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15316780100120140180200220240125155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#18
63.41.3
60.8→59.4
Auto15.3
Teleop36.6
End9.2
red by 0.7
604
#19
62.70.0
55.9→55.9
Auto13.5
Teleop38.3
End10.0
Second
1241
#47
56.81.3
57.6→56.3
Auto13.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
blue by 4.0
987
#30
60.80.0
59.5→59.5
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
Third
5653
#63
34.11.3
29.9→28.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End5.9
blue by 5.8
2403
#66
39.90.0
40.4→40.4
Auto12.6
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsMissed90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned