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Red141
263842.5
541946.1
224053.8
Blue126
907524.5
362056.7
857640.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571106080100120140180200220141126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#36
53.80.4
51.551.1
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End10.0
blue by 2.9
3620
#59
56.70.0
54.754.7
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
Second
5419
#43
46.10.4
44.243.9
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End7.0
red by 5.2
8576
#60
40.90.0
38.938.9
Auto11.5
Teleop22.8
End6.9
Third
2638
#42
42.50.4
45.645.3
Auto11.1
Teleop23.9
End7.0
red by 18.0
9075
#53
24.50.0
15.615.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsMissed