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Qual 22023 Milstein Division
Red159
366854.6
31959.2
515254.9
Blue135
412239.3
93071.7
263529.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164140100120180200220159135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
59.20.5
55.9→56.5
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End7.8
blue by 12.5
930
#9
71.70.0
67.5→67.5
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
5152
#45
54.90.5
47.9→48.5
Auto13.3
Teleop29.8
End11.1
red by 15.6
4122
#55
39.30.0
40.9→41.0
Auto10.7
Teleop19.8
End8.4
Third
3668
#29
54.60.5
52.6→53.1
Auto12.1
Teleop33.3
End7.2
red by 25.3
2635
#68
29.30.0
26.7→26.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned