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Red98
635232.4
502449.9
508929.5
Blue165
107240.0
38459.6
121848.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121555010020025098165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#67
49.90.8
47.646.8
Auto14.0
Teleop28.0
End8.1
blue by 9.7
384
#6
59.61.0
56.657.6
Auto15.1
Teleop35.7
End7.1
Second
6352
#49Sur
32.40.8
31.630.8
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
blue by 16.5
1218
#35
48.91.0
51.252.2
Auto12.6
Teleop28.0
End7.1
Third
5089
#75
29.50.8
31.030.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.3
blue by 10.5
1072
#40Sur
40.01.0
35.036.0
Auto11.8
Teleop21.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned