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Qual 282023 Milstein Division
Red192
253967.0
46953.8
223048.3
Blue143
124156.8
412239.3
540953.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16815050100200250192143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#1Sur
67.02.5
62.8→65.3
Auto15.4
Teleop40.1
End10.0
red by 10.2
1241
#47Sur
56.80.0
56.3→56.3
Auto13.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
469
#7
53.82.5
53.3→55.8
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
blue by 0.2
5409
#33
53.90.0
46.7→46.7
Auto12.8
Teleop32.2
End8.8
Third
2230
#39
48.32.5
43.0→45.4
Auto12.5
Teleop27.4
End7.5
red by 8.9
4122
#55
39.30.0
41.7→41.7
Auto10.7
Teleop19.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned