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Red94
701823.5
561830.8
362056.7
Blue122
924417.7
565334.1
174555.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101107020030040050094122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#59
56.70.1
54.754.6
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
red by 1.2
1745
#23
55.51.5
53.254.7
Auto10.8
Teleop35.6
End8.6
Second
5618
#74
30.80.1
27.327.1
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End10.6
blue by 3.3
5653
#63
34.11.5
28.630.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End5.9
Third
7018
#72
23.50.1
13.713.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.2
End3.5
red by 5.9
9244
#77
17.71.5
17.719.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned