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Red169
192362.7
98760.8
93071.7
Blue193
239952.0
541946.1
360449.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20612650100150250169193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#9
71.70.9
67.866.8
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 19.6
2399
#14
52.01.9
42.344.2
Auto15.0
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Second
1923
#17
62.70.9
59.658.6
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
red by 13.1
49.61.9
42.344.2
Auto14.5
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Third
987
#30
60.80.9
59.558.6
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
red by 14.7
5419
#43
46.11.9
43.945.8
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned