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Red150
907524.5
168356.6
297462.1
Blue173
589563.6
393762.4
477946.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12817950100150200250150173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#44
62.11.5
57.959.5
Auto15.8
Teleop37.4
End6.9
blue by 1.4
5895
#12
63.60.8
63.464.2
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End7.4
Second
1683
#10
56.61.5
53.555.0
Auto16.8
Teleop29.4
End9.1
blue by 5.8
62.40.8
59.760.5
Auto15.7
Teleop38.7
End7.2
Third
9075
#53
24.51.5
15.617.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.7
End6.7
blue by 22.4
4779
#56
46.90.8
42.743.5
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned