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Qual 342023 Milstein Division
Red125
2553.0
550546.0
686529.6
Blue142
141453.5
907619.9
69460.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136135110120130140150160125142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#41
53.00.4
52.4→52.0
Auto9.6
Teleop35.0
End7.5
blue by 7.9
694
#25
60.90.2
58.8→59.1
Auto14.8
Teleop36.1
End9.1
Second
5505
#48
46.00.4
50.0→49.6
Auto12.8
Teleop25.7
End5.9
blue by 7.6
1414
#11
53.50.2
50.8→51.0
Auto14.5
Teleop32.0
End6.0
Third
6865
#62
29.60.4
23.9→23.5
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End3.9
red by 9.7
9076
#65
19.90.3
18.7→19.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned