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Red168
900826.1
60462.7
667264.8
Blue173
642043.3
13544.2
609063.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14615580100120180200220168173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#24
64.82.0
63.765.7
Auto11.8
Teleop42.0
End8.6
red by 1.6
6090
#28
63.11.6
65.266.7
Auto16.6
Teleop34.3
End10.3
Second
604
#19
62.72.0
55.957.9
Auto13.5
Teleop38.3
End10.0
red by 18.4
135
#46
44.21.6
41.342.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End7.3
Third
9008
#57
26.12.0
20.122.1
Auto9.2
Teleop10.8
End6.2
blue by 17.2
6420
#26
43.31.6
38.039.5
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned