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Red140
907619.9
58755.3
2553.0
Blue122
121848.9
924417.7
98760.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129138050100200250140122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#8
55.31.2
49.250.4
Auto16.1
Teleop32.0
End6.2
blue by 5.4
987
#30
60.80.4
60.059.5
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
Second
25
#41
53.01.2
53.654.8
Auto9.6
Teleop35.0
End7.5
red by 4.1
1218
#35
48.90.4
51.551.0
Auto12.6
Teleop28.0
End7.1
Third
9076
#65
19.91.6
19.220.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End2.2
red by 2.2
9244
#77
17.70.5
17.416.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed