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Qual 512023 Milstein Division
Red125
635232.4
263842.5
93071.7
Blue153
141453.5
159948.9
2553.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155155120130140150160170180125153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#9
71.71.2
66.8→65.6
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 18.1
1414
#11
53.50.4
51.0→51.4
Auto14.5
Teleop32.0
End6.0
Second
2638
#42
42.51.2
45.7→44.5
Auto11.1
Teleop23.9
End7.0
blue by 10.5
25
#41
53.00.4
52.0→52.4
Auto9.6
Teleop35.0
End7.5
Third
6352
#49
32.41.2
30.8→29.6
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
blue by 16.5
1599
#15
48.90.4
47.9→48.3
Auto13.6
Teleop25.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned