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Red164
540953.9
402052.5
365561.9
Blue138
900725.6
642043.3
98760.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17912950100150200250164138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.1
59.860.0
Auto14.4
Teleop36.9
End8.6
red by 1.1
987
#30
60.80.7
59.460.1
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
Second
5409
#33
53.90.1
49.950.1
Auto12.8
Teleop32.2
End8.8
red by 10.6
6420
#26
43.30.7
40.541.2
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End8.3
Third
4020
#37
52.50.1
54.955.0
Auto15.1
Teleop29.8
End6.6
red by 27.0
9007
#71
25.60.7
27.227.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned