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Qual 582023 Milstein Division
Red119
508929.5
609063.1
857640.9
Blue184
192362.7
368361.3
541152.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139187100150200250119184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#28
63.11.2
64.6→63.4
Auto16.6
Teleop34.3
End10.3
red by 0.4
1923
#17
62.71.0
59.6→60.5
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
Second
8576
#60
40.91.2
40.7→39.5
Auto11.5
Teleop22.8
End6.9
blue by 20.4
3683
#34
61.31.0
59.9→60.8
Auto13.3
Teleop39.8
End6.7
Third
5089
#75
29.51.2
31.3→30.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.3
blue by 23.2
5411
#21
52.81.0
52.4→53.4
Auto12.6
Teleop30.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned