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Qual 592023 Milstein Division
Red131
412239.3
141453.5
60462.7
Blue126
198343.5
240339.9
367942.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164132100150200250131126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#19
62.71.3
60.0→58.7
Auto13.5
Teleop38.3
End10.0
red by 19.2
1983
#32
43.50.4
43.8→43.4
Auto13.2
Teleop23.0
End7.4
Second
1414
#11
53.51.3
51.4→50.1
Auto14.5
Teleop32.0
End6.0
red by 11.3
3679
#51
42.30.4
39.2→38.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.0
End10.0
Third
4122
#55
39.31.3
40.9→39.6
Auto10.7
Teleop19.8
End8.4
blue by 0.6
2403
#66
39.90.4
43.3→42.9
Auto12.6
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned