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Red151
265630.1
502449.9
362056.7
Blue153
223048.3
2553.0
912541.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143145120130140150160170180151153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#59
56.71.1
55.756.8
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
red by 3.7
25
#41
53.01.2
52.453.6
Auto9.6
Teleop35.0
End7.5
Second
5024
#67
49.91.1
46.647.6
Auto14.0
Teleop28.0
End8.1
red by 1.6
2230
#39
48.31.2
46.447.6
Auto12.5
Teleop27.4
End7.5
Third
2656
#58
30.11.1
32.934.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End8.5
blue by 11.0
9125
#22
41.11.2
39.340.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned