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Red148
174555.5
263842.5
59744.0
Blue123
902233.6
900725.6
297462.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15112450100200250148123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1745
#23
55.50.6
55.456.1
Auto10.8
Teleop35.6
End8.6
blue by 6.6
2974
#44
62.10.2
59.559.8
Auto15.8
Teleop37.4
End6.9
Second
597
#61
44.00.6
38.639.2
Auto10.4
Teleop24.5
End9.2
red by 10.4
9022
#73
33.60.2
32.032.2
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End4.0
Third
2638
#42
42.50.6
44.545.1
Auto11.1
Teleop23.9
End7.0
red by 17.0
9007
#71
25.60.2
27.928.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed