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Red101
591353.9
46953.8
150658.5
Blue152
93071.7
565334.1
469326.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18211150100150200250101152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#31
58.54.1
58.654.5
Auto14.5
Teleop33.7
End8.5
blue by 13.2
930
#9
71.72.6
65.668.2
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
5913
#50
53.94.1
56.452.3
Auto13.2
Teleop32.1
End6.8
red by 19.8
5653
#63
34.12.6
30.533.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End5.9
Third
469
#7
53.84.1
53.649.6
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
red by 27.4
4693
#69
26.32.6
16.719.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned