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Red161
393762.4
609063.1
912541.1
Blue111
224053.8
412239.3
2553.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175146100200250161111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#28
63.10.0
63.463.5
Auto16.6
Teleop34.3
End10.3
red by 9.3
2240
#36
53.82.0
49.847.8
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End10.0
Second
62.40.0
59.659.7
Auto15.7
Teleop38.7
End7.2
red by 9.4
25
#41
53.02.0
53.651.6
Auto9.6
Teleop35.0
End7.5
Third
9125
#22
41.10.0
40.540.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End8.3
red by 1.8
4122
#55
39.32.0
39.637.7
Auto10.7
Teleop19.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned71%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned