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Qual 702023 Milstein Division
Red171
98760.8
541152.8
31959.2
Blue150
263842.5
223048.3
297462.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18115350100200250171150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#30
60.80.3
60.1→60.4
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
blue by 1.4
2974
#44
62.10.2
59.8→60.0
Auto15.8
Teleop37.4
End6.9
Second
319
#4
59.20.3
59.0→59.3
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End7.8
red by 10.9
2230
#39
48.30.2
47.6→47.8
Auto12.5
Teleop27.4
End7.5
Third
5411
#21
52.80.3
53.4→53.7
Auto12.6
Teleop30.9
End8.2
red by 10.2
2638
#42
42.50.2
45.1→45.3
Auto11.1
Teleop23.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned