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Qual 712023 Milstein Division
Red156
150658.5
58755.3
907524.5
Blue147
635232.4
540953.9
366854.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133139050100200250300156147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#31
58.52.0
54.5→56.6
Auto14.5
Teleop33.7
End8.5
red by 3.9
3668
#29
54.61.2
50.5→51.7
Auto12.1
Teleop33.3
End7.2
Second
587
#8
55.32.0
51.9→53.9
Auto16.1
Teleop32.0
End6.2
red by 1.4
5409
#33
53.91.2
50.1→51.2
Auto12.8
Teleop32.2
End8.8
Third
9075
#53
24.52.0
19.0→21.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.7
End6.7
blue by 7.8
6352
#49
32.41.2
29.2→30.3
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned