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Qual 722023 Milstein Division
Red169
124156.8
192362.7
360449.6
Blue124
402052.5
902233.6
502449.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17113950100150200250169124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#17
62.70.5
60.5→61.0
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
red by 10.2
4020
#37
52.50.7
54.6→53.9
Auto15.1
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Second
1241
#47
56.80.5
54.3→54.8
Auto13.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 6.9
5024
#67
49.90.7
47.6→46.9
Auto14.0
Teleop28.0
End8.1
Third
3604
#5
49.60.5
43.2→43.7
Auto14.5
Teleop27.4
End7.0
red by 16.0
9022
#73
33.60.7
32.2→31.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed