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Qual 762023 Milstein Division
Red141
265630.1
174555.5
31658.3
Blue121
591353.9
508929.5
477946.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161130050100150200141121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#13
58.30.4
57.5→57.0
Auto11.9
Teleop33.8
End11.0
red by 4.4
5913
#50
53.91.5
52.3→50.9
Auto13.2
Teleop32.1
End6.8
Second
1745
#23
55.50.4
56.1→55.6
Auto10.8
Teleop35.6
End8.6
red by 8.6
4779
#56
46.91.5
43.4→41.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End6.0
Third
2656
#58
30.10.4
34.0→33.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End8.5
red by 0.6
5089
#75
29.51.5
30.1→28.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed