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Red138
362056.7
91046.7
107240.0
Blue112
900725.6
907619.9
60462.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610850200138112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#59
56.70.4
56.857.2
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
blue by 6.0
604
#19
62.70.4
58.759.1
Auto13.5
Teleop38.3
End10.0
Second
910
#20
46.70.4
42.643.0
Auto12.3
Teleop24.9
End7.9
red by 21.2
9007
#71
25.60.4
28.228.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Third
1072
#40
40.00.4
35.435.8
Auto11.8
Teleop21.2
End7.1
red by 20.1
9076
#65
19.90.4
19.219.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned